In the matchup between the Iowa Hawkeyes and Michigan State Spartans on Saturday, September 30 at 7:30 PM, our computer model expects the Hawkeyes to come away with the victory. Seeking projections on the final score, spread, and point total, too? Find a full game projection below.

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Iowa vs. Michigan State Predictions and Picks

ATS Pick Total Pick Score Prediction
Michigan State (+10) Over (36.5) Iowa 21, Michigan State 19

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Week 5 Predictions

Iowa Betting Info (2023)

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  • The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Hawkeyes a 78.9% chance to win.
  • The Hawkeyes have posted two wins against the spread this year.
  • In games it has played as 10-point favorites or more, Iowa has an ATS record of 1-1.
  • One Hawkeyes game (out of four) has hit the over this year.
  • The average total for Iowa games this season has been 40, 3.5 points higher than the total for this game.

Michigan State Betting Info (2023)

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 25.6% chance of a victory for the Spartans.
  • The Spartans have covered the spread twice in four opportunities this season.
  • Michigan State is winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 10-point underdogs.
  • One of the Spartans' four games with a set total has hit the over (25%).
  • The average over/under in Michigan State games this year is 12.5 more points than the point total of 36.5 for this outing.

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Hawkeyes vs. Spartans 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Iowa 21.3 17 32.5 12 10 22
Michigan State 23 23.3 23 23.3 -- --

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