LIVE: Ida is now a tropical storm, watching other chances of development
MYRTLE BEACH, SC (WMBF) - Ida is now tropical storm as it moves into Mississippi this morning.
At 5 AM, the center of Tropical Storm Ida was located by NOAA Doppler weather radars, satellite data, and surface observations near latitude 31.0 North, longitude 90.8 West. Ida is moving toward the north near 8 mph, and this general motion is forecast to continue today. A faster northeastward motion is expected to begin by tonight and continue on Tuesday.
On the forecast track, the center of Ida will move farther inland over southeastern Louisiana early this morning and move into southwestern Mississippi later this morning. Ida is then forecast to move over central and northeastern Mississippi this afternoon and tonight, and move across the Tennessee Valley on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased near 60 mph with higher gusts. Additional rapid weakening is forecast during the next day or so, and Ida is expected to become a tropical depression by this evening. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles, mainly southeast of the center. A sustained wind of 32 mph and a gust to 52 mph were recently observed at the airport in McComb, Mississippi. Along the Gulf coast, a Weatherflow station in Gulfport, Mississippi, recently measured a sustained wind of 46 mph and a gust to 66 mph. The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb.
OTHER SYSTEMS TO WATCH
Tropical Storm Julian
At 5 AM, the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Julian was located near latitude 38.1 North, longitude 41.9 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 26 mph. This general motion is expected to continue through Monday, followed by a turn to the north, then northeast Monday night into Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb.
Tropical Depression Ten
At 5 AM, the center of Tropical Depression Ten was located near latitude 20.8 North, longitude 50.6 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 8 mph. A general northward motion is forecast to continue through Monday followed by a gradual turn toward the northwest by Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during he next couple of days. Slow strengthening is forecast to begin in the latter part of this week. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb.
Neither Julian or Ten will pose a threat to the Carolinas.
Meanwhile, we’re keeping an eye on two chances of development as well!
A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the west coast of Africa later today. Environmental conditions appear conducive for the development of a low pressure area once the wave moves offshore, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle or latter part of the week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic. The chance of development is at 60% over the next two days and 80% over the next five days.
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form in the southern Caribbean Sea over the next several days. Environmental conditions appear to be favorable for some slow development by the end of the week, as long as the system remains over water. This system is expected to move gradually west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the western Caribbean Sea close to the east coast of Central America. The chance of development remains low at 20% over the next five days.
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