FIRST ALERT: ‘Bill’ likely to develop later today, watching two other areas
MYRTLE BEACH, SC (WMBF) - A short-lived tropical depression or storm may develop off the Carolina coast. Another area of interest has increasing chances of development in the Gulf of Mexico.
The showers and storms that moved through the area over the weekend have developed into an area of low pressure off shore. This morning, the low pressure area appears to be quickly getting better organized.
According to the National Hurricane Center, Satellite, radar and surface observations indicate that a well-defined low pressure system located about 90 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, is acquiring more tropical characteristics. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form later today or tonight. This system is expected to move northeastward away from the United States and move over colder waters south of Nova Scotia on Wednesday, ending any opportunity for further development by midweek. The chance of development is now 70%. If it develops into a tropical storm, it would be given the name of ‘Bill’.
Another area of interest has developed in the southern Gulf of Mexico.
In its latest discussion, the National Hurricane Center says showers and thunderstorms located over southern Gulf of Mexico are associated with a broad low pressure area. Gradual development of this disturbance is possible during the next couple of days while it meanders near the coast of Mexico, and a tropical depression could form late in the week when the system moves northward into the central Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next several days. The chance of development is now up to 60%.
In addition, there’s now another area of interest to track as well.
A strong tropical wave just offshore of west Africa is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Some development of this system is possible during the next few days before a combination of dry air aloft and strong upper-level winds limit any chance of formation while the wave is over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean late this week. The chance of development is 20%.
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