FIRST ALERT WEATHER DAY: Significant severe weather event later today

FIRST ALERT WEATHER DAY: Severe Weather Threat Update

MYRTLE BEACH, S.C. (WMBF) - The risk of severe weather has been slightly lowered across the area but a threat still remains.

The latest update from the Storm Prediction Center has slightly lowered the severe weather risk across the Carolinas. The LEVEL 4 risk has been reduced back to a LEVEL 3. While this is encouraging news, the risk of severe storms and isolated tornadoes remains.

The latest update has dropped the severe weather threat to a Level 3.
The latest update has dropped the severe weather threat to a Level 3. (Source: WMBF)

Slightly more stable air than was anticipated has remained in place across the Carolinas so far today. The stable air is helping to keep thunderstorms from developing. However, enough warmth may move into the area this afternoon to provide fuel for the possibility of severe storms.

TIMELINE: Storms will gradually increase across the area this afternoon. While the severe weather threat may not be as widespread as initially thought, enough ingredients remain in place to remain vigilant to changing weather.

Here's a look at what it could look like for the area later today.
Here's a look at what it could look like for the area later today. (Source: WMBF)

Across the Pee Dee, the storms will arrive between 1:00 PM and 4:00 PM. For areas along the Grand Strand, the best time frame for potentially severe storms will be from 4:00 PM through 8:00 PM.

A timeline of the line of potentially severe storms on Thursday.
A timeline of the line of potentially severe storms on Thursday. (Source: WMBF News)

TORNADO THREAT: Enough wind shear in the atmosphere still exists for the possibility of tornadoes late Thursday. In addition, ingredients will be in place for the possibility of long lasting and strong tornadoes - EF2 or stronger. The latest update has slightly dropped the chances of a tornado from 15% to 10%. While lower, that is still a substantial risk.

Tornado risk
Tornado risk (Source: WMBF)

DAMAGING WIND THREAT: Very strong winds in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere will combine with developing storms to produce a significant risk of damaging winds from developing thunderstorms. The risk of strong winds remains at 30%.

Wind risk
Wind risk (Source: WMBF)

HAIL THREAT: The threat of large hail looks much lower in the latest update. Now down to 5% for most of the area.

Hail risk
Hail risk (Source: WMBF)

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