MYRTLE BEACH, SC (WMBF) - The chance of tropical development is slowly increasing. These two systems now pose a medium chance of development over the next five days. These two system do not pose a threat to the Carolinas at this time.
The first system is a tropical wave that is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over western Cuba, the northwestern Bahamas, southern Florida, and the adjacent Atlantic and Caribbean waters. Gradual development of this system is possible while it moves west-northwestward during the next few days. This system is expected to move over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico later today, the central Gulf on Wednesday, and the northwestern Gulf on Thursday and Friday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon, if necessary. The chance of development is medium over the next five days at 40%. *
Showers and thunderstorms have become better organized in association with the second system located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or two while the low moves westward at around 10 mph over the tropical Atlantic. By the weekend, however, less favorable conditions should limit additional development. The chance of development is at 60% over the next five days.
While these chances continue, know that our First Alert Weather Team will continue to keep a close eye on them and future tropical waves and systems as we head into the peak of hurricane season.
The next name on the list is Gonzalo.