MYRTLE BEACH, SC (WMBF) - An area of low pressure will deliver potentially heavy rain and gusty winds to the area on Wednesday.
An area of low pressure continues to slowly get more organized near the east coast of Florida. While the system has a very small chance of tropical development, it’s running out of time. The low pressure center will gradually move northward and into coastal South Carolina on Wednesday.
According to the National Hurricane Center, the chance of tropical development is at 30%. Despite a low chance of development, the National Hurricane Center has stated that “regardless of development, heavy rainfall could cause flash flooding over portions of coastal sections of northeastern Florida and Georgia through tonight, and over portions of the Carolinas on Wednesday. Gusty winds could also produce rough marine conditions and life-threatening surf and rip currents along the coasts of northeastern Florida, Georgia, and the Carolinas through Wednesday.”
A few light showers will remain in place through the night tonight with temperatures dropping into the upper 60s to near 70. Any steady or heavy rain will hold off until the mid morning hours on Wednesday.
Wednesday will see rain chances steadily increase as the area of low pressure moves into the region. Periods of heavy rain will be possible from the late morning hours through the early afternoon before tapering off. Rainfall totals could reach up to 2 inches in some areas with isolated amounts of 3 inches. There is still some disagreement on where the axis of heaviest rain will fall with some models indicating the heaviest rain falling just north of the area into NC or just south of the area closer to the SC Lowcountry.
Gusty winds will be possible on Wednesday as well with gusts as high as 35 mph near the beaches. An isolated gust to 40 to 45 mph will be possible in a few locations. The gusty onshore winds will produce rough surf and a high risk of rip currents on Wednesday.
In addition to locally heavy rain and gusty winds, a small severe weather threat may develop. As the area of low pressure moves on shore, wind shear and high humidity could produce a few storms capable of damaging winds and a small tornado threat.