MYRTLE BEACH, SC (WMBF) While rain and even thunderstorms are still likely, the risk of severe weather late Sunday is lowering.
A storm system will develop across the Deep South on Saturday and then move near or through the Carolinas on Sunday. The exact track and strength of the developing system has become a little more clear in today's latest forecast models.
The latest information from Friday suggests Sunday's storm system will likely be a bit weaker and take a more southern and off shore track. This track would limit the amount of warm and unstable air that moves into the region. As a result, the risk of isolated severe storms is much lower.
In addition to a weaker system, a slower arrival of the storm system would push most of the rain back until late Sunday afternoon and into Sunday night, leaving most of Sunday mostly cloudy and mild.
Based on the very latest forecast models, our forecast indicates cloudy skies on Sunday with light rain breaking out during the afternoon. Steadier rain with embedded downpours will arrive by the evening hours. A few thunderstorms remain possible, but the risk of isolated severe storms looks to remain well south and east of the region.
The slower progression of the storm system also means that rain may linger at times into Monday as much colder temperatures once again move back into the area.
There is still time for more adjustments in Sunday's forecast. March is notorious for wild swings in weather and rapidly changing conditions. Just a few subtle changes in the track and strength of the system could result in more changes to the forecast.
The final details of the Sunday forecast will continue to become more clear over through tonight and Saturday. Make sure you're keeping a check of the latest forecast with the WMBF First Alert Weather App. Download it for free here: